Well, I'm going to announce myself as a normal townie. Makes me feel pretty restless, since the most I can do is speculate and vote, but that aside.
Here are the possibilities we may take and subsequent risks.
Tragedy called doctor. So if we were to lynch him and he was telling the truth, we'd be risking big bucks because that leaves our confirmed mayor exposed. Tragedy dies, he's confirmed inno, and then mayor is killed in the night, or one of us townies; regardless, the game CAN extend onto another day where it may be won by determining the mafia from a smaller pool of people. It's a risk, but it's not an end game. It'll extend even longer if mafia continues to abstain from killing people.
If I, Hawk or Starlighter were mislynched, we'd still have mayor left, a probable doctor and one other townie. Meaning the game can extend a few extra days, even with a mislynch. Someone dies at night... if it's our doc, then mayor and townie are left. Game ends the day after if townie is lynched or mayor dies the following night. Mayor is untouchable as long as doc is alive.
So basically I'm saying that if we choose to lynch today...
If it's mafia, we win.
If they're innocent, a townie, then we're left with mayor, potential doctor, a townie and mafia. Mayor is untouchable the following night, if Tragedy continues to devote his heal to Dipper. If mayor dies, two townies are left and Tragedy can be identified as mafia since all heals should be given to the mayor at this point of the game. This means only the townie or doc can die during the night. If the townie dies, doc and mayor still have the opportunity to make a proper vote. If doc dies, the same in terms of votes happens, but mayor is no longer safe; the game cannot extend another day. Mafia may not choose to kill at all, to keep things ambiguous.
I know I'm innocent, I have ample belief that Tragedy is innocent, so for me, the only ones it can be are Star or Hawk. That's why I'm not opposed to lynching Star today, as there is room for that kind of risk. However, if you
@LuckycoolHawk9 or
@Dipper would collectively prefer to abstain from lynching anyone today, that's fine, and I will also comply. It DOES mean however that if a death in the night takes place (likely my own, or the other regular townie) then the chances of the game being extended do lower. And eventually we have to lynch /someone/ regardless, so I'm not sure how much help it is to abstain from nominating for a day. Regardless, as it stands, we have two solid days in which to root out our culprit.
Also, some info on Star:
So... as far as who the mafia most likely are, I think the inactivity has the best shot for nominating someone to lynch - we might accidentally lynch someone else with a night action and work against ourselves, but I think it's most likely that at least one of the mafia is in that group. But I don't know, I could be wrong.
They were the very first person to suggest lynching inactives in this game. Before even Kiilgore brought the tactic up. Interesting, because Kiilgore never mentioned this quote to spare himself of that blame (that said, his claim was more centered about Hawk being guilty). Of course he might not have seen it, but... *shrugs*